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The condo craze: Is a condo in your future?

May 19, 2006


The condo boom shows no signs of slowing. Is the single-family home going out of style?
I just had to do this story because last weekend, I opened the real estate section of the paper and saw a picture of this new 23-story condo building. I assumed it was in downtown Seattle or maybe in Bellevue. But the article said: Bellingham!

Don't get me wrong--Bellingham is a beautiful place to live. I've spent a fair amount of leisure time in the area. And no doubt, a 23-story building is going to have some spectacular views of the ocean and mountains. But you have to wonder--can Bellingham support condos from $330,000 to a couple million dollars? The answer apparently is yes--50% are reserved, including the most expensive penthouses.

It's just a sign that the condo craze is everywhere. One expert used the phrase, "a perfect storm." Demand from baby boomers trying to downsize, combined with young, more affluent buyers and investors looking for second homes have really pushed demand from all age groups. But here's what makes some people nervous. Is the condo market overheated? If the market tanks, are you safer investing in a single-family home, where you own a chunk of land? Are people going to get tired of the condo lifestyle after a few years?

Can't help but wonder about the 26-year-old we interviewed, who's buying his first condo. Fast forward 10 years from now, when he's married with two kids, is he going to head into the suburbs looking for a good school and a lawn?

If you missed the show, click below for streaming video.

KING 5 News Up Front with Robert Mak
EVERY SUNDAY: THE ISSUES THAT MATTER
KING-5 @ 4:30 p.m. NWCN @ 8:00 p.m. KONG-TV @ 10:30 p.m.

Posted by Robert Mak at May 19, 2006 01:11 PM

Comments

Mr. Mak,
I am a buyer of high end, luxury lifesyle condominiums in some of our most favored vacation destinations. I own one on Maui, one on Kauai and just bought a couple in Washington Square-Bellevue, WA. Each one is unique, Hawaii for vacations and Bellevue for it's new night life. As I am married with two young children, my wife and I will look forward to movies, dinners and shopping together as we miss our date nights.
Your story the other night has not surprised me. What I am surprised with is that no one has done an indepth review of all this real estate being developed. Wow, what a windfall for Seattle. And with Boeing and Microsoft hiring thousands of new employees, you better get one while you can, they are sure to go fast. As for Bellingham, it is close to Whistler, Vancouver, Victoria and The San Juan Islands, so watch out, I believe this is just the first phase. Love your show, Keith Singleton

Posted by: Keith Singleton at May 20, 2006 06:04 PM

Mr. Mak,

Interesting comment on the last line of your blog article "...Fast forward 10 years from now, when he's married with two kids, is he going to head into the suburbs looking for a good school and a lawn?" I have a downtown condo in bellevue and the answer for me will be yes I will be looking for a house in the suburbs in that case. Unless city leaders step up to make downtown areas more pedestrian and family friendly, all of us younger people who have condos now, may move out when families arrive.

Jim

Posted by: Jim at May 21, 2006 01:02 PM

I looked at the website for Bay View Tower, the Bellingham high-rise condo featured in your article (www.bellinghamcondo.com).

The prices they are asking are in my view 40%-50% lower than what you would expect to pay in Seattle or Vancouver for condos of similar size and finish.

The fact of the matter is that there are alot of people these days like me, who can live and work wherever they want, a function of internet-driven connectivity.

Bellingham has all the things I like about Seattle, and none of things I dislike about Seattle.

Bob

Posted by: Bob at May 21, 2006 08:13 PM

I'm that 26 year old... And 10 years from now when it comes time to raise a family, I won't move out to the 'burbs. I'll buy a house on Capitol Hill just blocks away from my condo, or Queen Anne, or First Hill, or Interlake, etc. Presumably there will be many options ten years from now for someone like myself who can afford a $350,000 condo now but yet a single family dwelling is just out of reach.

For instance, today you can find great four bedroom homes on Capitol Hill for around $500,000. Slightly more than a condo, but more space and a sliver of a yard for the kids. Schools? There's no doubt that the City of Seattle needs to invest more in their downtown pubilc school system. But as the kids of the baby boomers ago I can only hope that we'll put more pressure on the government to reform the existing schools and expand further for those who wish to live in the city.

Matt
http://urbnlivn.com

Posted by: Matt Goyer at May 22, 2006 01:47 AM

I live in Vancouver BC where a lot of condo's have been built downtown and people can walk to work and shop etc without driving. That is the way to go as it keeps the downtown lively and a great place to live.
We actually live in N Van in a new highrise near the Seabus terminal again where you can walk to public transit and the shops. All age groups live in our highrise.

Posted by: BLAINE at May 22, 2006 02:10 AM

Robert,

The interviewees on your programme make a salient point: downtown Seattle lacks much of the infrastructure (grocery stores, parks) necessary to make it a viable neighborhood. I would suspect this is because Seattle is at its heart a commercial centre attempting to reinvent itself.

Downtown Bellingham, on the other hand, has the infrastructure in place to make it a great urban centre neighborhood (such as Vancouver). (This is communicated well on the Bay View Tower website under the link entitled "Location" => "Local Map".) Bellingham has maintained a commitment to greenspace that is unusual for a US city.

In short, what makes a great condominium lifestyle is as much what is located around the condominium project as it is the condominium itself.

Posted by: Seth at May 22, 2006 08:28 AM

Condo already is in my present. Regarding the future is hard to say. I'd like to upgrade but wowwie - look at the monthly dues on some of these condo properties! They can be a mortgage by themselves, and they can change drastically if they were set too low at the initial sale. They can make the worst variable rate mortgage loan look cheap. There nees to be some realistic oversight of these developers to make sure they are giving extremely accurate and relaible data in their public offering statements regarding upkeep costs.

Posted by: Carl W. at May 22, 2006 05:39 PM

Robert,

I'm Matt Goyer, the young 26 year old from your show. And no, 10 years from now I won't be moving out to the suburbs. I'd happily raise a family in any of the neighborhoods adjacent to downtown. Neighborhoods like Capitol Hill, Queen Anne, Wallingford, Fremont, Eastlake, etc. Neighborhoods where houses generally cost around $500,000. Yes, I can't afford this now, which is why I'm buying a condo, but I'm sure that in a few years time, my ability to afford a house will increase. My only concern is that my ability to afford needs to grow faster than housing appreciation.

Matt

Posted by: Matt Goyer at May 23, 2006 01:30 PM

Matt--
I'm curious, would you consider raising a family in a condo (maybe a 2, 3 bedroom) or do you see yourself in a house?

By the way, congratulations--in advance--on the new condo!
Robert

Posted by: Robert Mak at May 23, 2006 05:48 PM

Robert, thanks!

Though I'd likely raise them in a house. The cost of 2-3 bedroom condos in downtown is outrageous compared to the cost of a 2-3 bedroom house in any of the neighboring neighborhoods.

Matt

Posted by: Matt Goyer at May 24, 2006 12:40 AM

Robert,

Great post and I love the discussion that it sparked! I work in Real Estate in Bellingham (in marketing, not as an agent) and it is always interesting to hear other's perspectives on Bellingham.

Currently, there are numerous condo projects being built in Bellingham. Virtually all of them are high end with the granite counters, stainless steel appliances etc. Is there a glut of condos coming in Bellingham? Possibly. One project that is completely built and has been on the market for nearly a year has not even sold half of the units yet. Granted, this project is not as deluxe as some of the others so the point here is LUXURY condos are selling quick.

~Nickie

Posted by: Nickie at June 1, 2006 04:49 PM

Its a natural for Bellingham to move into the big time with luxury condos. Its all about location, location, location and the Waterfront Development project. It is also the quality of life and the great outdoors and the proximity of so many places to be alone and enjoy nature. The economy in Bellingham is not feed from the local job market but from retirees and the wealthy moving here to experience our way of life.

Posted by: Tom Gidlund at June 3, 2006 06:32 AM

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